Specter Versus Toomey: It's A Tie

Well, right now at least:
Democratic Sen. Arlen Specter and Republican challenger Pat Toomey are deadlocked 44 - 44 percent in Pennsylvania's marquee 2010 U.S. Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. President Barack Obama's job approval in this pivotal swing state remains below 50 percent at 49 - 45 percent.

Sen. Specter holds a commanding 53 - 30 percent lead in the Democratic Senate primary over Congressman Joe Sestak, a slight increase from the 44 - 25 percent margin when the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University last surveyed Pennsylvania voters October 1.

Specter, who spent more than three decades in public life as a Republican, switched parties earlier this year and held an impressive 53 - 33 percent lead over Toomey in a May 4 Quinnipiac University poll. But that gap narrowed in the spring and summer. Toomey took a statistically insignificant 43 - 42 percent lead in an October 1 survey, virtually unchanged from today's 44 - 44 percent tie.

"With less than 11 months to go, Sen. Arlen Specter and Pat Toomey are neck-and-neck. Specter has the state's Democratic registration advantage on his side, while Toomey can take heart in the numbers that show problems for Specter in measures in addition to the horse race," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
A lot can happen in the next couple of months -- especially if Joe Sestak were to pull off an upset in the Democratic primary election...

Photo: AP file composite