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2010 Is Likely A Republican Year In Pennsylvania

The Democrats have an uphill battle for governor and U.S. Senate seat this fall:
Toomey, a former congressman who is unchallenged for the GOP Senate nomination, trailed Specter 49 - 42 percent March 2. The two men have swapped the lead by small margins since last fall.

Toomey also leads U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is challenging Specter in the Democratic primary, by 42 - 34 percent. Specter leads Sestak for the Democratic nomination 53 - 32 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday of likely Democratic primary voters, a different sample.

"A Toomey-Specter race could continue swinging back and forth until November because most voters won't begin to focus on it until after Labor Day," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

[snip]

In the governor's race, Corbett - by far the best known of the contenders - retains a double digit lead over the three leading contenders for the Democratic nomination, which will be decided in the May 18 primary.

Corbett gets a 47 - 13 percent favorability rating. For the Democratic contenders, Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato, State Auditor General Jack Wagner and former U.S. Senate nominee Joe Hoeffel, the "don't know enough" factor ranges from 66 to 75 percent.
After last year's budget stalemate (that went far too long), I am not the least bit surprised that Dems would be trailing in the gubernatorial race. Perhaps when they get a front-running candidate out there, things will be different. But I doubt it.