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Toomey Versus Sestak: Toomey Leads Heading Into Election


Some last minute polling in Pennsylvania:
Republican former Congressman Pat Toomey holds a 50 - 45 percent likely voter lead over Democratic U.S Rep. Joe Sestak in the race to be Pennsylvania's next U.S. senator, while Republican Tom Corbett, the attorney general, is cruising with a 52 - 42 percent lead over Democrat Dan Onorato, the Allegheny County executive, in the race for governor, according to Quinnipiac University poll released today.

The GOP candidates' domination among independent voters is the reason for their leads, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey conducted by live interviewers and completed Saturday, finds. Toomey leads Sestak among independents 52 - 39 percent and Corbett does even better, leading 53 - 34 percent among independent voters.

"The candidates each hold their party bases pretty well, each getting more than 80 percent of the votes of their own party members," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But it is independent voters, as is often the case in close elections, that swings the balance of power."
Given the current political climate, it's not surprising that the Republican candidates lead the Democratic candidates going into tomorrow's election. What is surprising (to me, at least) is how relatively close the numbers have been in the past two weeks. I will watch the returns tomorrow night with great interest...