Twitter

Mitt Romney Sweeps Tuesday's Primary Elections

So, I was kind of right....
  • Maryland: Mitt Romney by a large margin, likely 9+ points.
  • Washington, D.C.: Romney again, by a larger margin. I'm guessing 8 points or so.
  • Wisconsin: Rick Santorum by a slight margin, probably 3 points. Maximum.
Mostly.

Santorum looked like he had a shot at eking out a win in Wisconsin early on in the evening. But then reality set in -- and it looks now as if Romney will handily win the Badger State by nearly five percentage points:


[via Politico.com]

So I got that one wrong.

But, as for Maryland and Washington, D.C. -- yeah, I was wrong there too.

Firstly, I'd like to point out that I somehow missed the fact that Santorum wasn't even on the ballot in Washington, D.C. I'm not sure how I missed that. Though, perhaps it was statements like this from Santorum campaign spokesman Hogan Gidley :
"Obviously Wisconsin is going to be a close race, we’re not sure about Maryland or Washington, D.C.,” Gidley said Tuesday on MSNBC. “We expect Mitt Romney to do well in the D.C., area, no shock there, in fact it might even be unanimous — I don’t know that we’ll pick up a single vote in D.C. because of the vitriol D.C. has for a someone like Rick Santorum who wants to shake things up here in Washington.”
My emphasis.

Except that it's not the 'vitriol' towards Santorum that was the problem, it was the fact that Santorum failed to get on the ballot:
Santorum [didn't] pick up a single vote in Tuesday's District of Columbia Republican primary. But that's because he failed to pay the required fee to get on D.C.'s ballot, and the city's Republican Party opted against allowing write-in votes for their primary.
So. My bad.

And as for Maryland, I was correct that Romney would beat Santorum by a hefty margin -- but admittedly that margin turned out to be much larger than I had anticipated.

So now Santorum has made the pivot to Pennsylvania. Oh, who am I kidding -- he made the pivot last night before the Wisconsin returns came in. The big point in his speech was that "Now it's halftime" (hmm... that sounds familiar). Santorum is trying to make the argument that, like Reagan (*snort*), he is the true conservative who is going to make something of a 'comeback' to garner the Republican nomination. The odds that Santorum can end up with more delegates that Mitt Romney are verrrrrrrrrrrry long...

Now, don't misunderstand me; I'm not saying that this is an impossibility. Stranger things have happened, and there are still several months until the Republican convention in Florida. All I'm saying is that it is a big improbability.

Any way you split it, this was a BIG NIGHT for Mitt Romney. It has just gotten much more difficult for Santorum -- or anyone else -- to snag the nomination away from Romney.