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Rick Santorum: I'll Absolutely Win Pennsylvania

Really Rick?
Rick Santorum sounded like the ever confident Republican presidential candidate when asked about his chances in Pennsylvania's April primary.

The former two-term Pennsylvania senator on Monday said he could "absolutely" guarantee a win in the state, but that it's a "tough state."

"We actually were part of the movement to change the Republican Party in Pennsylvania to a much more conservative party, and we've been successful winning elections doing that," Santorum said on Fox News.

But he added, "It's not going to be easy."


Santorum lost his re-election fight in 2006 to Democrat Bob Casey by an unprecedented 18 percentage points.

The most recent poll out of the Keystone State from Franklin and Marshall College showed Santorum and Mitt Romney statistically tied for the top spot among likely primary voters ahead of Election Day on April 24.
My emphasis.

The only way that he could have made this quote worse would have been adding, "Read my lips..." to the front of it.

My analysis from last week still stands:
Remember folks, Santorum lost his 2006 U.S. Senate re-election bid by 17 points. In Pennsylvania. While there were other factors involved (that election was very anti-Bush/Republican), this was right around the 'man-on-dog' era in the Santorum lexicon.

Pennsylvania is not a solidly red-meat state. My guess is that, IF Santorum does win the Keystone State, it will be by a razor-thin margin. However, I think that Romney has a much better shot of winning here.
I'll be surprised if Santorum wins in Pennsyltucky -- but as we've seen in this primary already, anything is possible.